Ballerina Slips While Dragon Soars - Weeks 6 & 7

As the summer of reboots, rebrands, remakes, and side hustles continues to try and make the box-office numbers rebound, we got a classic “win some, lose some” scenario. 

First, the win. How to Train Your Dragon came roaring out of the gate with an awesome $84.6 million opening. That’s almost double what the original animated feature debuted with in 2010. Fans of the original were ready to go back to the Isle of Berk and Universal didn’t hiccup this release. 

This was an even bigger opening than Thuderbolts*, and given the way families love to flock to the theaters in the summer, this PG-hit looks to be something that could fly past the $200 million mark. I can’t predict the future, but that’s the level in my mind any film needs to pass to be a legit Top 5 contender this summer. 

Then, there was a loss. From the World of John Wick: Ballerina tumbled out the gate with a $24 million opening. Despite trying to throw every side character they could to make this feel like a an actual John Wick movie (even including John Wick!), the folks who lined-up for John Wick 4 couldn’t be bothered for something that seemed like a Peacock exclusive. Still, I’m sure they’ll try a few more John Wick adjace projects before they consider the property excommunicado. 

Meanwhile, Lilo & Stitch continued being the “film of the summer” until something comes along to knock it off the mountain. It had been the #1 film for three weeks straight and only dropped to #2 after Dragon was released. With $366.5 million in hand, it has an outside chance of getting to $400 million. Oddly, standing in its path, is the new Disney/Pixar movie Elio that opens this weekend. Well planned, everybody. Good call. 

The Final Reckoning of Mission:Impossible continues to be about the same as all of their other reckonings. They’ve chosen to accept $166.5 million so far and will likely finish around $190 million. That’s above Dead Reckoning: Part One and just below Rogue Nation. While I keep thinking they could try and spin-off M:I with a new crew of agents, its likelihood of success is probably the same as Ballerina. We go to John Wick for Keanu and we go to M:I for Tom. Replacing them with an actor from an FX show is not the same. 

This week, we’ll see if 28 Years Later can be more than a fan-boy curiosity like last year’s Furiosa and if Pixar has truly found its groove after Inside Out 2 or if it’s back to its days of Lightyear. 

The Top Five If Today Was Labor Day:

#1. Lilo & Stitch - $366.5 million

#2. Thunderbolts* - $188.5 million

#3. Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning - $166.5 million

#4. Final Destination: Bloodline - $130.7 million

#5. How to Train Your Dragon - $84.6 million

Lilo & Stitch Cinch Memorable Memorial Day Weekend - Weeks 4 & 5

The big guns came out firing over Memorial Day weekend, yet it wasn’t the gadgets of the IMF that won the day. Instead, something a little more extra-terrestrial stole the show. 

Lilo & Stitch had a record breaking Memorial Day weekend with a $182.6 million four-day explosion. It broke the record of 2013’s The Fast & The Furious 6 $117 million start. It like literally topped the four-week run of Thunderbolts* in FOUR DAYS!

I expected the film to do well but this is bonkers. It might already be the film of the summer and we only reached June three days ago. The film tacked on another $61.8 million in its second weekend and is already at a $279 million total. It was a 57% drop from the previous huge weekend, which is actually solid given the size of that debut. All that talk about Disney’s “live-action” pipeline being over after this year’s Snow White flop was obviously just sitting at the wrong table. 

On the other side of the holiday weekend was the return and potential end of Ethan Hunt. Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning accepted a four-day weekend of $79 million. That this was heralded as the biggest opening ever for an M:I film only shows the disparity between this franchise and some of the other heavy hitters. It’s nothing to sneeze at, yet multiple Marvel movies have debuted with $200 million over three-days. 

Still, Tom and his crew packed them in and The Final Reckoning is at $122.5 million after its first 10 days. No amount of masks, gadgets, chases, fights, stunts, shootouts, AI, and techno gobbledygook could stop this film from accomplishing its mission. Now Mr. Cruise can get back to what people really want to see… Top Gun 3: More Mavericky.

Karate Kid: Legends was also released to a $20 million opening. While not awe-inspiring, it’s a huge improvement over the other “leftovers” of May that usually opened with $5 million or less. With a modest budget, KK:L should at least turn a profit and maybe more “legends” will be coming our way. Surf Ninja’s Ernie Reyes Jr., I’m looking at you!

It should be noted that Final Destination: Bloodlines has the highest Rotten Tomatoes rating of our Blockbuster Pool movies so far. That was definitely not on my bingo card. Neither was a $111.8 million total after three weeks, yet the film has been “death” defying since its release. Well done, you. 

Finally, Thunderbolts* seems to be on its last legs with $181.8 million. A $190 million could still be in play, though that’s the floor it’s bolted to. Someone tell Disney+ they need to do a modern-day series of What About Bob with the Bob from Thunderbolts*!  

We’ll see if the not-John Wick John Wick movie can stop Disney’s Lilo & Stitch ride this weekend… 

The Top Five If Today Was Labor Day:

#1. Lilo & Stitch - $279 million

#2. Thunderbolts* - $181.8 million

#3. Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning - $122.5 million

#4. Final Destination: Bloodline - $111.8 million

#5. Karate Kid: Legends - $20.3 million