Monday, January 23, 2023

2022 Holiday Blockbuster Pool - Final Report

Sometimes movie pools are exactly what we think they are. It’s like listening to the Beatles and guessing which two will be the more successful solo artists. You know exactly which two it’s going to be, you just aren’t sure in which order. That’s what the 2022 Holiday Blockbuster Pool presented us. 


To 96% of the poolers (you know, there’s always a few Ringo fans), it was a clear 1-2 punch of Wakanda Forever and The Way of Water. It was only a question of which blow would hit the hardest. 


Along the way, however, there were paper tigers, Oscar-baits that no one bit at, and sleepers that never woke up. Yes, this may have been one of the weakest seasons we’ve had during the 20+ years of doing Blockbuster Pools. Case in point, it’s super rare to have a film released in January that would’ve cracked our Top 5 had it been eligible and M3GAN would’ve been #4… Yikes! 


So, let’s thaw-out after these chilly box-office results and celebrate the films that weren’t this season.


The “Available For Streaming” Now Award:

It felt like She Said was available to stream about three minutes after it was released. Likewise, I can neither confirm nor deny, but Devotion may have been available on Paramount+ before Top Gun: Maverick was. 


The “Did This Get Someone Fired” Award: 

Strange World did feel strange as a Disney film and as the second Disney/Pixar film of the year (maybe third if you count the “not release” of Turning Red) that tanked, maybe the Disney CEO was canned for not being able to do the one thing Disney/Pixar has always been able to do… make massive animated hits. 


The “So You Don’t Want To Make $100 million” Award:

Glass Onion was the hit Netflix wanted people streaming on Christmas Day. It probably still would’ve been if they’d played the movie at theaters from Thanksgiving till then and made another nine-figures along the way. Why they said no to free money is a mystery even Benoit Blanc can’t solve. 


The “Hard Pass Oscar Films” Award:

Even Captain Ahab didn’t want to catch The Whale and you didn’t need Cyrus The Great to make Babylon fall this time. 


The “Where Do Broken Hearts Go” Award:

I Wanna Dance With Somebody never found a dance partner and didn’t hit the high notes to become a critical fave. 

 

And with that, because last week was MLK Day, it’s time to acknowledge and congratulate the actual Top 5 Films of The 2022 Holiday Blockbuster Pool!!!  


#5. The Menu - $38.2 million

Sure, why wouldn’t a black comedy/horror story about a deranged prestige chef and his almost equally deranged prestige clientele not be the sleeper holiday hit of the season? With only $400,000 to spare, The Menu was able to cook-up just enough to outpace Disney’s mega-flop Strange World. Kudos to the cast and crew for creating this tasty morsel and even providing a great recipe for a REAL cheeseburger and not some “fancy deconstructed avant bullshit” as they say in the film. In a season with lots of filler, this one hit the spot.    


#4. Violent Night - $49.7 million

I have a group that loves to annually watch Rare Exports (Finland’s favorite Holiday Horror flick). The trailer to Violent Night immediately spoke to our macabre mentality, but since .0000002% (and maybe even a few more zeros) of this country know about Rare Exports, I didn’t know what the appetite would be for such a wack-a-doodle yuletide tale. This “literally” violent mash-up of action-gore and feel-good cheer was Christmas magic. As the Santa from the film would say, “I don’t really get how it works either.” 

 

#3. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - $111.9 million

What looked like a “12 Years 2 Late” money-grab turned out to be the animated hit of the season. Fans came for the laughs, yet kept coming back for the unexpected feels. It’s probably sacrilege that a delusional therapy dog is the greatest character in the movie, but sometimes it’s the friends you didn’t know you needed that are your best allies. Still, let’s go out on a high note and sing the opening song in double-time: “Who’s your favorite fearless hero? Puss in Boots, Puss in Boots!”


#2. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $450 million

The film was successful at mourning the loss of actor Chadwick Boseman and the character he played, but less so with advancing the normal MCU plotlines. The Ironheart sections played more like a Disney+ series while Namor almost needed his own film as K'uk'ulkan. On a side note, having Lupita Nyong'o go undercover as Mirabel from Encanto and then wearing a bright green, purple and gold jumpsuit makes me think Wakanda learned everything they know about being inconspicuous from 007. Though this film may have been necessary to get to a more straight-ahead Black Panther 3, it still was successful enough to be the biggest superhero hit of the year. “We gon' be alright.”  


#1. Avatar: The Way of Water - $571.7 million

Slow and steady won the race once again for James Cameron. He’s never lost a Holiday Blockbuster Pool. Sure, he’s only had three movies since the pool started in 1997, but he’s triumphed each time. I will say when I found out that Sigourney Weaver played Jake Sully’s daughter, it made perfect sense why she was the only new character that resonated anything… because she’s frickin’ Sigourney Weaver. Not even CGI can mess that up. I will admit to having a lot of déjà vu (all over again) seeing this movie so close to the water scenes from Wakanda Forever. Just imagine if Aquaman 2 had come out this same season as intended?! Still, the movie looked amazing, it was a fun novelty to wear 3D glasses, and I’ll know the next time I can go to the bathroom at any time and I’m not really missing anything. Congrats, to the champ… You earned it!


Sunday, January 8, 2023

Babylon Bombs, Puss Purrs, Avatar Awakens - Weeks 7 & 8

 With one week till our final results, I thought I’d save some drama and update you on what happened over the Holidaze Weekends. Then next week will be the final reveal with Knives Out’s Benoit Blanc deducing the Top Five in 30 seconds while the rest of us took weeks to solve the case. That’s why they pay him the big bucks… Even if I don’t think he’s ever been paid for either case that he’s worked on onscreen… Hmm, curious business plan. 


The new films opening over Christmas Weekend may have tried to blame the epic storms for their poor showings, yet epic disinterest seemed to be the predominant forecast. 


The fall of the real Babylon took a lot longer than it did for the film to collapse. Opening with just $3.6 million, this was one of the poorest wide-released performances in a long time. In fact, it’s the 6th worst opening ever. Gulp! Not what a studio who invested $80 million wants to hear. I know Hollywood loves making movies about Hollywood, but this is one that no one seemed to connect with (insert Brad Pitt’s tap dancing here).

Opening barely better was the Whitney Houston pic I Wanna Dance With Somebody. A $4.7 million debut would be mocked more if it wasn’t still a million more than how Babylon performed. Whitney may have been saving all her love for us, yet at this one moment in time, we have nothing, nothing, nothing for her. It’s not right, but it’s ok.

 


Meanwhile, it’s really bizarre how the most relevant thing Antonio Banderas has done in 20 years is voice Puss in Boots. I mean that’s almost the way Mike Meyers has wanted it since his Shrek movies, but Banderas keeps busy and still Puss is what people think about. Saying Zorro or Spy Kids feels like naming your favorite Gin Blossom CD. Regardless, Puss in Boots held up its own bootstraps to a $12.8 million opening. On a side note, it had the highest Rotten Tomatoes score of any of the wide releases over the holiday period. Good kitty!


That left all eyes on Avatar: The Way of Water. Could it outperform Black Panther: Wakanda Forever in its follow-up weeks or would it fade the way most films do? It’s its second weekend, Pandora held well with only a 50% drop and a $63.3 million gross. However, it was in its third weekend that flipped the script and changed the game.   


Avatar 2 gained 6.4% in week three and an even higher $67.4 million total over New Year’s weekend. This leaves the Island of the Blue People only $13 million behind Wakanda with two weeks left in the pool. Queen Shuri thought the blue folks from Namor’s tribe were the ones to watch out for, but it was the ones from space that were the real threat! 


We’ll have the Final Report and results ready for you next week. Here’s where we are for now…




The Top Five If Today Was MLK Day:

#1. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - $438.3 million

#2. Avatar: The Way of Water - $425.5 million

#3. Puss In Boots: The Last Wish - $61.2 million

#4. Violent Night - $47.5 million

#5. Strange World - $36.9 million


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